文章摘要
刘展志, 黄显峰, 方国华, 黄雪晴, 陈颖钦.基于改进云模型的堤坝除险加固效益后评价研究Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2017,28(5):223-231
基于改进云模型的堤坝除险加固效益后评价研究
Post benefit evaluation of dam reinforcement based on modified cloud model
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2017.05.37
中文关键词: 堤坝  效益后评价体系  改进云模型  投影寻踪  熵权法
英文关键词: dam  post benefit evaluation system  modified cloud model  projection pursuit method  entropy method
基金项目:国家重点研发计划课题(2016YFC0400909);湖南省水利科技重点项目([2016]194-21);湖南省水利科技项目([2015]245-13);安徽高校自然科学研究项目(KJ2017A898)
Author NameAffiliation
LIU Zhanzhi1, HUANG Xianfeng1, FANG Guohua1, HUANG Xueqing1, CHEN Yingqin2 1.河海大学 水利水电学院 江苏 南京210098 2.河海大学文天学院 安徽 马鞍山 243031 
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中文摘要:
      针对堤坝除险加固效益后评价,从经济、社会、生态环境效益3方面构建效益评价指标体系,该体系包括防洪增量效益、灌溉增量效益、经济内部收益率、水环境影响等15项指标,确定效益极佳、较好、一般、较差、极差5个评价等级及相应标准,提出改进云模型进行综合评价。该模型将投影寻踪法和熵权法计算得到的客观权重与云模型计算的初始权重相耦合,利用组合评价法计算指标权重,根据指标等级与标准计算云模型的3个特征值(期望Ex,熵En,超熵He),采用条件云发生器计算各指标的隶属度,进行综合评价。将上述方法应用于湖北省黑湾水库堤坝除险加固效益后评价,验证了改进云模型评价方法的有效性和适用性。
英文摘要:
      Aiming at the post benefit evaluation of reservoir reinforcement, the evaluation system of benefit index is built from the economic, social and ecological aspects. The system includes 15 indexes, such as flood control increment benefit, irrigation increment benefit, economic internal rate of return, and water environmental impact. Five evaluation grades and criteria are determined, which are excellent, good, general, bad and disappointing. The modified cloud model(MCM) is brought to calculate comprehensive evaluation. The model combines objective weights calculated by projection pursuit method and the entropy method and initial weights calculated by cloud model(CM), and the index weights are computed by the combination evaluation method. The three characteristic values (Expected value Ex, Entropy En, Hyper Entropy He) of the CM are calculated according to the index grade and standard, and the rank of each index grade can also be calculated by condition cloud generator for comprehensive evaluation. The above method is applied to the evaluation of the reinforcement benefit of the dam in Heiwan Reservoir of Hubei Province, and the validity and applicability of the improved cloud model evaluation method are verified.
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