文章摘要
赵艳涛,常金霞.一元线性回归法径流预测在新疆克孜尔水库的应用Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2013,24(5):226-228
一元线性回归法径流预测在新疆克孜尔水库的应用
Application of monadic linear regression method to runoff prediction in Xinjiang Kizil reservoir
Received:May 02, 2013  Revised:May 30, 2013
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2013.05.051
中文关键词: 旬均径流  一元线性回归  径流预测  克孜尔水库
英文关键词: ten-day average runoff  monadic linear regression  runoff forecast  Kizil reservoir
基金项目:
Author NameAffiliation
ZHAO Yantao Kizil Reservoir Management Bureau of Xinjiang, Baicheng 842313,China [KH*3D] 
CHANG Jinxia Kizil Reservoir Management Bureau of Xinjiang, Baicheng 842313,China [KH*3D] 
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中文摘要:
      利用入库径流1986-2012年系列实测旬径流资料,根据一元线性回归方程原理,建立中长期预报方案,并对预报结果进行分析及精度评价。结果表明:该方法能满足中长期定量预报允许的许可误差,预报精度达到水文情报预报规范。
英文摘要:
      By use of runoff series from 1986to 2012to measure ten-day runoff data, according to the principle of monadic linear regression equation,the paper established long-term prediction scheme, and analyzed the prediction results and evaluated its precision .The result can meet the allowable error of medium-long quantitative forecast. The precision of forecast arrive at the prediction specification of hydrology information.
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