文章摘要
王春娟,冯利华.城市水资源需求量变化趋势预测模型及应用Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2012,23(5):51-54,58
城市水资源需求量变化趋势预测模型及应用
Prediction model of change tendency of urban water resources demand and its application
Received:May 18, 2012  Revised:June 05, 2012
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2012.05.012
中文关键词: 水资源  水资源需水量  物元分析  灰色关联分析
英文关键词: water resources  water resources demand  matter element analysis  gray correlation analysis
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(41171430、40771044)
Author NameAffiliation
WANG Chunjuan College of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Zhejiang Normal University,Jinhua 321004,China 
FENG Lihua College of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Zhejiang Normal University,Jinhua 321004,China 
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中文摘要:
      利用灰色关联分析,可挑选出与需水量关系较为紧密的影响因子,而利用前期的影响因子进行计算,可以使物元分析具有预测功能。讨论了物元分析的方法步骤及应用。结果表明:根据物元分析来预测未来义乌市需水量的变化趋势是较为理想的。
英文摘要:
      By the utilization of grey correlation analysis, the paper pick out impact factors in close relationship with water resources demand and use of previous impact factors to calculate, witch make matter element analysis possess forecast function. The paper discussed steps and applications of matter element analysis. The result showed that the forcast of future change tendency of water resources demand in Yiwu accordance with matter element analysis is relatively ideal .
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