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黄显峰, 周 文, 鲜于虎成, 张艳青, 李 旭.考虑源-荷协同风险的水光互补系统日前优化调度水资源与水工程学报[J].,2024,35(4):119-126
考虑源-荷协同风险的水光互补系统日前优化调度
Day-ahead optimal scheduling of Hydro-PV complementary system considering the risk of source-load collaboration
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2024.04.14
中文关键词:  水光互补  不确定性  源-荷协同  风险评估  日前优化调度
英文关键词:Hydro-PV complementary  uncertainty  source-load collaboration  risk assessment  day-ahead optimal scheduling
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(52179012);中国华能集团有限公司总部科技项目(HNKJ20-H20)
作者单位
黄显峰1, 周 文1, 鲜于虎成1, 张艳青2, 李 旭3 (1.河海大学 水利水电学院 江苏 南京 210098 2.中国电建集团贵阳勘测设计研究院有限公司 贵州 贵阳 550081 3.华能澜沧江水电股份有限公司 云南 昆明 650214) 
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中文摘要:
      光电高比例渗透阶段会加剧水光互补系统的源-荷协同难度,并引发弃电风险。由此提出一种考虑源-荷协同日前优化调度方法。首先基于波形分段与出力分区提取光伏出力定性特征,引入耦合云生成光电不确定性场景;然后选取波动量、弃电量评价指标建立日前调度模型,采用波形分阶补偿策略保障负荷跟踪能力与控制弃电风险,并编制发电计划;最后根据实际案例的场景集合求解系统实时运行过程。结果表明:耦合云模型能够在波形与出力两个维度模拟不同鲁棒保守度下的光电不确定性;相对于常规确定性优化,考虑源-荷协同日前优化调度方法能够充分发挥水电与水库调节的灵活性,具有更强的风险承担能力,且输电形式满足源-荷协同要求,可以有效规避弃电风险。
英文摘要:
      High proportion of photoelectric (PV) penetration will aggravate the difficulty of source-load coordination in the Hydro-PV complementary system and cause the risk of power fluctuation and curtailment. Therefore, a day-ahead optimal scheduling method considering source-load coordination was proposed. Firstly, the qualitative features were extracted based on the PV waveform segmentation and power partition, and the coupled cloud was introduced to simulate PV power uncertainty scenarios. Subsequently, the evaluation indexes of power fluctuation and curtailment were selected to establish the day-ahead scheduling model. Additionally, the waveform hierarchical compensation strategy was adopted to guarantee load tracking capability and control power curtailment risk, and then the generation plan was prepared. Finally, the real-time operation effect of the system was analyzed according to the real scenario set in the actual case. The results show that the coupled cloud model can simulate the PV power uncertainty with different robustness conservatism in two dimensions of waveform and power generation. Compared with the conventional deterministic optimization, the day-ahead optimal scheduling method can give full play to the flexibility of hydropower and reservoir regulation and has stronger risk bearing ability. Furthermore, the transmission form can meet the requirements of source-load coordination and avoid the risk of power curtailment effectively.
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