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刘玉冰, 刘 波, 王文鹏, 邱 鹏, 黎春蕾, 仵新燕, 刘缘晴.基于日尺度旱涝急转指数的重庆市旱涝急转事件演变特征分析水资源与水工程学报[J].,2024,35(4):20-28
基于日尺度旱涝急转指数的重庆市旱涝急转事件演变特征分析
Evolution of drought-flood abrupt alternation events in Chongqing based on the daily dry-wet abrupt alternation index
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2024.04.03
中文关键词:  旱涝急转事件  日尺度旱涝急转指数  方差校正的Sen趋势检验  时空演变  重庆市
英文关键词:drought-flood abrupt alternation events  daily dry-wet abrupt alternation index  modified Sen’s trend test  spatiotemporal variation  Chongqing City
基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFB3900601)
作者单位
刘玉冰1, 刘 波2, 王文鹏2,3, 邱 鹏4, 黎春蕾4, 仵新燕2, 刘缘晴2 (1.福建省水利水电勘测设计研究院有限公司 福建 福州 350001 2.河海大学 水文水资源学院 江苏 南京 2100983.水利部水利大数据重点实验室 江苏 南京 211100 4.重庆市水文监测总站 重庆 401120) 
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中文摘要:
      为准确地反映旱涝急转事件的“突发性”与“交替性”特征,对重庆市34个气象站采用日尺度旱涝急转指数DWAAI提取1960—2018年旱涝急转事件,根据重庆市的实际情况划分不同强度旱涝急转事件对应的DWAAI数值范围,探究不同强度旱涝急转事件发生频次的时空演变特征。结果表明:重庆市旱涝急转事件以旱急转涝为主,旱急转涝事件占旱涝急转事件累计次数的85%,主要发生在4—9月,多年平均次数为22.64站次,其中,中度、重度事件占所有旱急转涝事件的11.7%、2.9%;旱急转涝事件频发于重庆市西部、中部及东北部区域,发生频次的变化趋势不显著;涝急转旱事件主要发生在7—9月,多年平均次数为5.60站次,轻度、中度事件占所有涝急转旱事件的92.9%、7.1%;涝急转旱事件在重庆市东南部、中部以及东北部区域的西部地区(如开县)频发,频发地区的发生频次总体呈增加的趋势。研究成果可为保障重庆市及相关地区水安全、加强防旱抗涝减灾工作提供理论基础。
英文摘要:
      Drought-flood abrupt alternation events of 34 meteorological stations in Chongqing City were identified by the daily dry-wet abrupt alternation index (DWAAI), which can accurately reflects the suddenness and alternation of the events. Based on the actual situation of Chongqing City, the range of DWAAI values for drought-flood abrupt alternation events at different levels were determined and the spatiotemporal characteristics of the frequencies of these events were analyzed. The results showed that the drought-flood abrupt alternation events in Chongqing City were predominantly characterized by a transition from drought to flood, accounting for 85% of the total drought-flood abrupt alternation events. These drought- flood events mainly occurred during April-September, and the multi-year average cumulative frequency was 22.64 times, with moderate and severe events accounting for 11.7% and 2.9%, respectively. Spatially, drought to flood events occurred frequently in the western, central and northeastern regions, with no significant trend in frequency change. Whereas flood to drought events mainly happened from July to September, and the multi-year average cumulative frequency was 5.60 times, with mild and moderate events accounting for 92.9% and 7.1%, respectively. From spatial perspective, flood to drought events were frequent in the southeastern, central and the west part of northeastern regions (such as Kaixian), and the frequencies of the regions listed above generally showed an increasing trend. The research results can provide a theoretical basis for enhancing water security and strengthening drought prevention, flood resistance and disaster reduction in Chongqing and neighboring regions.
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