• ▶ 2008-2024年被中国情报信息研究所评价中心评为“中国科技核心期刊”
  • ▶ 2019-2024年连续三届被中国科学院文献情报中心中国科学引文数据库CSCD(核心库)收录
  • ▶ 2021、2023年入编北京大学图书馆《中文核心期刊要目总览》
  • ▶ 2020-2024连续四年入选《科技期刊世界影响力指数(WJCI)报告》
陈 述, 纪 勤, 颜克胜, 陈 云.长江流域水资源-经济-生态系统的耦合协调及影响因素研究水资源与水工程学报[J].,2023,34(3):28-36
长江流域水资源-经济-生态系统的耦合协调及影响因素研究
Coupling coordination and influencing factors of water-economy-ecology system in the Yangtze River Basin
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2023.03.04
中文关键词:  水资源-经济-生态系统  耦合协调度  影响因素  长江流域
英文关键词:water-economy-ecology (WEE) system  coupling coordination degree  influencing factor  the Yangtze River Basin
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(52079073);湖北省高等学校哲学社会科学研究项目(21Y042)
作者单位
陈 述1,2, 纪 勤1,2, 颜克胜1,2, 陈 云1,2 (1.三峡大学 水电工程施工与管理湖北省重点实验室 湖北 宜昌 443002 2.三峡大学 水利与环境学院 湖北 宜昌 443002) 
摘要点击次数: 1251
全文下载次数: 602
中文摘要:
      长江流域水资源、经济与生态之间协调发展有待提高,亟待探索水资源、经济与生态之间的协调关系及其影响因素,助力长江流域可持续发展。以2011—2020年长江干流10省市为研究对象,首先建立水资源-经济-生态(water-economy-ecology, WEE)系统耦合协调度模型;其次利用趋势面映射耦合协调度全域分布,并探究长江流域耦合协调度发展的局部特征;再利用空间自相关分析,解析耦合协调度全局和局部相关性;最后采用因子探测器,探究耦合协调度的影响因素。结果表明:长江流域水资源子系统、经济子系统、生态子系统两两之间的耦合协调度逐年上升,但上升趋势存在显著差异;WEE系统耦合协调度全域呈现“U”型变化的态势,局部表现为“中游<上游<下游”;WEE系统耦合协调度空间集聚水平不断提高,局部空间相关性逐年向好;WEE系统耦合协调度主要影响因素可概括为水资源开发利用、水资源条件、经济发展水平、城镇化水平、污染排放及治理。长江流域未来可依据耦合协调度分布及影响因素贡献率,改善地区相应影响因素的现状,拓宽长江流域各省市高质量发展空间。
英文摘要:
      The coordinated development of water resources, economy and ecology in the Yangtze River Basin needs to be improved, and the exploration of the coordination between these three factors is conducive to the sustainable development of the Yangtze River Basin. Taking the 10 provinces and cities of the Yangtze River Basin from 2011 to 2020 as the research objects, we firstly established a coupling coordination model of the water-economy-ecology (WEE) system; secondly, the trend surface was used to map the global distribution of coupling coordination degree, and the local characteristics of the development of coupling coordination degree in the Yangtze River Basin were explored; Thirdly, the spatial autocorrelation analysis was used to analyze the global and local correlations of the coupling coordination degree. Finally, a factor detector was adopted to explore the influencing factors of the coupling coordination degree. The results show that the coupling coordination between the water subsystem, economy subsystem and ecology subsystem of the Yangtze River Basin have been increasing year by year, but the increasing trend varied greatly among different subsystems. Moreover, the coupling coordination of the WEE system showed a U-shaped change in the whole area, with a local trend of “midstream < upstream < downstream”. In the meantime, the level of spatial clustering of WEE system coupling and coordination kept increasing and the local spatial correlation has been improving year by year. So, the main influencing factors of WEE system coupling and coordination can be summarized as water development and utilization, water conditions, economic development level, urbanization level, pollution emission and control. In this regard, the Yangtze River Basin can improve the current situation of the corresponding influencing factors in the region based on the distribution of the coupling coordination degree and the contribution rate of the influencing factors in the future, so as to broaden the space for high-quality development of the provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Basin.
查看全文  查看/发表评论  下载PDF阅读器
关闭