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赖敬明, 邹 进, 张洪波, 姚彤悦.土地利用及降雨和气温变化对生态流量的影响研究水资源与水工程学报[J].,2022,33(2):93-100
土地利用及降雨和气温变化对生态流量的影响研究
Effects of land use, precipitation and temperature change on ecological flow
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2022.02.12
中文关键词:  生态流量  SWAT模型  改进的Tennant法  土地利用  降雨  气温
英文关键词:ecological flow  soil & water assessment tool (SWAT) model  improved Tennant method  land use  precipitation  temperature
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(52069010)
作者单位
赖敬明, 邹 进, 张洪波, 姚彤悦 (昆明理工大学 电力工程学院 云南 昆明 650504) 
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中文摘要:
      针对降雨量、气温和土地利用变化对生态流量的影响开展定量研究。以云龙水库流域为研究对象,采用SWAT模型和改进的Tennant法,定量分析了土地利用和降雨量、气温对月尺度生态流量过程的影响。研究结果表明:2008-2018年云龙水库流域内水域和建设用地面积有较大幅度的增加,使流域月平均生态流量和生态流量峰值均有一定程度的增大。经计算,流域水域和建设用地面积的增长率分别为950%、100%,累计年生态流量增加了7.82 m3/s;生态流量与降雨量和气温关系密切,其与降雨量呈正相关,与气温呈负相关,相较于气温,降雨量对生态流量的影响更大;在相同变幅下,降雨量增加比减少对生态流量产生的影响更大,气温下降比上升导致的生态流量变化更大。经计算,降雨量变幅分别为10%和-10%时,相应的生态流量变化量分别为+0.061 7和-0.057 0 m3/s,气温变幅分别为1 ℃和-1 ℃时,相应的生态流量变化量分别为-0.015 1和+0.019 3 m3/s。综上所述,降雨、气温和土地利用变化对生态流量的影响均较为显著。
英文摘要:
      Quantitative research was conducted targeting at the impact of precipitation, temperature and land use change on the ecological flow. Using the soil & water assessment tool (SWAT) model and the improved Tennant method, the impacts of precipitation, temperature and land use on the monthly ecological flow process in Yunlong Reservoir basin were quantitatively analyzed. The results show that the area of water and construction land in Yunlong Reservoir basin has expanded significantly during the period of 2008-2018, resulting in the increase of the monthly average ecological flow and the peak ecological flow to a certain extent. According to the calculation results, the growth rate of water area and construction land was 950% and 100% respectively, and the accumulative annual ecological flow increased by 7.82 m3/s. The ecological flow was closely related to precipitation and temperature, which was positively correlated with precipitation and negatively correlated with the air temperature. Compared with the temperature, precipitation had a greater impact on the ecological flow. Under the same amplitude, the increase of precipitation presented a greater impact on ecological flow than the decrease, whereas the drop of temperature gave a larger impact on ecological flow than the rise. It has been calculated that when the precipitation amplitude was +10% and -10%, the corresponding changes of ecological flow was +0.061 7 m3/s and -0.057 0 m3/s, and when the temperature amplitude was +1 ℃ and -1 ℃, the changes of ecological flow was -0.015 1 m3/s and +0.019 3 m3/s, respectively. In conclusion, precipitation, temperature and land use change have a significant influence on the ecological flow.
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