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石晓昕, 袁重乐, 钱 会, 徐盼盼, 郑 乐.基于DPSIR-TOPSIS模型的河北省水资源承载力评价及障碍因素研究水资源与水工程学报[J].,2021,32(5):92-99
基于DPSIR-TOPSIS模型的河北省水资源承载力评价及障碍因素研究
Evaluation and obstacle factors of water resources carrying capacity in Hebei Province based on DPSIR-TOPSIS model
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2021.05.13
中文关键词:  水资源承载力  DPSIR-TOPSIS模型  障碍因素  河北省
英文关键词:water resources carrying capacity  DPSIR-TOPSIS model  obstacle factor  Hebei Province
基金项目:黄河流域水资源调查评价项目(300102290401); 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(300102291401、300102291402、300102291507); 国家111引智计划项目(B08039)
作者单位
石晓昕1,2, 袁重乐1,2, 钱 会1,2, 徐盼盼1,2, 郑 乐1,2 (1.长安大学 水利与环境学院 陕西 西安 710064 2.旱区地下水文与生态效应教育部重点实验室 陕西 西安 710064) 
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中文摘要:
      水资源承载力评价是了解水资源发展水平的关键,在水资源可持续发展中具有重要作用。基于DPSIR概念模型选取14个指标构成评价体系,采用熵权TOPSIS方法和障碍度模型对河北省2010-2017年水资源承载力进行分析研究。结果表明:2010-2017年河北省水资源承载力水平呈上升趋势;从分类指标来看,除影响子系统承载力水平下降外,其余子系统承载力水平都有不同程度的提升;从障碍度分析来看,影响水资源承载力发展的主要因素为压力子系统,就主要障碍因子而言,2010-2013年为工业用水量、人均用水量以及生态环境用水比重;2014-2017年为农业化肥施用量、人均水资源量、建成区绿化覆盖率。DPSIR-TOPSIS模型对河北省水资源承载力评价有较好的适用性,对该地区经济社会和生态环境的发展具有重要意义。
英文摘要:
      The evaluation of water resources carrying capacity is the key to understanding the development level of water resources, it plays an important role in the pursuit of sustainable development of water resources. Based on the DPSIR conceptual model, 14 indexes were selected to constitute the evaluation index system, and the entropy weight TOPSIS model and obstacle degree model were used to analyze the water resources carrying capacity of Hebei Province from 2010 to 2017. The results show that the water resources carrying capacity of Hebei Province was on the rise from 2010 to 2017. According to the classification indices, the bearing capacity level of the subsystems has been improved to different degrees except that the influence subsystem decreased. From the perspective of obstacle degree analysis, the main factor affecting the development of water resources carrying capacity was the pressure subsystem. In terms of the main obstacle factors, the industrial water consumption, per capita water consumption and the proportion of ecological environment water consumption were the main obstacle factors from 2010 to 2013. From 2014 to 2017, the main obstacle factors included the application of agricultural fertilizers, per capita water resources and the green coverage rate of established areas. DPSIR-TOPSIS model is applicable to the evaluation of water resources carrying capacity of Hebei Province, and it is beneficial for the development of social economy and ecological environment in this region.
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