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黄国如, 李碧琦.基于模糊综合评价的深圳市暴雨洪涝风险评估水资源与水工程学报[J].,2021,32(1):1-6
基于模糊综合评价的深圳市暴雨洪涝风险评估
Risk assessment of storm water fooding in Shenzhen City based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2021.01.01
中文关键词:  城市暴雨洪涝  模糊综合评价法  风险评估  ArcGIS  深圳市
英文关键词:urban storm water flooding  fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method  risk assessment  ArcGIS  Shenzhen City
基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFC1502704),国家自然科学基金项目(51879108)
作者单位
黄国如1,2,3, 李碧琦1 (1.华南理工大学 土木与交通学院广东 广州 510640 2.华南理工大学 亚热带建筑科学国家重点实验室广东 广州 510640 3.广东省水利工程安全与绿色水利工程技术研究中心 广东 广州 510640) 
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中文摘要:
      近年来,城市洪涝灾害的频繁发生已引起专家学者的广泛关注。基于灾害系统理论,综合考虑致灾因子、孕灾环境、承灾体、防灾减灾能力等因素,从危险性和易损性两大风险要素出发,利用ArcGIS技术和模糊综合评价法,对洪涝频发的深圳市进行城市暴雨洪涝灾害风险评估区划,最终生成以100 m×100 m为基本评价单元的暴雨洪涝灾害风险分布图。结果表明:深圳市洪涝灾害高风险区主要分布在宝安区西部、福田区、罗湖区西部、龙岗区以及大鹏新区部分地区。研究结果能较好地反映出深圳市洪涝灾害风险的实际分布情况,为有关部门的洪涝灾害风险管理和防灾减灾工作提供较为客观的科学依据。
英文摘要:
      In recent years, the frequent occurrence of urban floods has attracted attention from experts and scholars of related fields. The ArcGIS technology and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method were used to carry out the risk assessment and zoning of urban storm water flood disaster in Shenzhen City which suffers from frequent flooding, based on the factors of risk and vulnerability according to the theory of disaster system. In the analysis, factors such as disaster causing factors, disaster inducing environment, disaster bearing body, the capability of disaster prevention and mitigation were considered comprehensively. Finally the storm water flood disaster risk zoning map was generated with 100 m×100 m as the basic evaluation unit. The results show that the high risk areas of flood disasters in Shenzhen City mainly distributed in western Bao’an District, Futian District, western Luohu District, Longgang District and parts of Dapeng New District. The research results can reflect the actual distribution of flood disaster risk in Shenzhen City, therefore it can provide a scientific basis for flood disaster management, prevention and mitigation work of the departments concerned.
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