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张志旭, 宋孝玉, 刘晓迪, 王绍娜, 符 冲.咸阳市用水量变化驱动效应与节水评价水资源与水工程学报[J].,2020,31(6):73-79
咸阳市用水量变化驱动效应与节水评价
Drivers of water use change and water-saving evaluation in Xianyang City
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2020.06.12
中文关键词:  城市用水  用水量  驱动效应  因素分解  节水评价  咸阳市
英文关键词:urban water use  water consumption  driving effect  factor decomposition  water-saving evaluation  Xianyang City
基金项目:咸阳市水政水资源管理办公室项目:咸阳市水资源承载能力监测预警机制建设
作者单位
张志旭, 宋孝玉, 刘晓迪, 王绍娜, 符 冲 (西安理工大学 省部共建西北旱区生态水利国家重点实验室 陕西 西安 710048) 
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中文摘要:
      为探讨城市用水变化驱动效应,挖掘城市节水潜力,基于咸阳市2007-2018年产业用水量变化与社会经济指标,采用因素分解模型将咸阳市用水变化驱动效应分解为规模效应、技术效应和结构效应,并进行节水评价。结果表明:咸阳市用水总量呈先增加后波动减少的趋势,主要是由于规模效应的拉动作用和技术效应的抑制作用相互抵消,叠加结构效应多表现为抑制作用。特别是西咸新区划转之后,2018年结构效应成为用水量减少的主要因素。目前,咸阳市在维持GDP增速3.7%的情况下仍能够持续减少用水量,但其节水技术已显疲态。与陕西省10个主要城市的农业、工业、生活和综合用水等节水指标对比,咸阳市农业用水最具有节水潜力且综合节水处于陕西省中等水平。
英文摘要:
      To explore the driving effects of changes in urban water use and tap the potential of water saving, based on the changes in industrial water consumption and socio-economic indicators in Xianyang City from 2007 to 2018, the factor decomposition model was used to decompose it into scale effect, technical effect and structural effect, and then the evaluation of water saving was conducted. The results show that the total water consumption of Xianyang presents a trend of increasing first and then decreasing fluctuation, which was mainly due to the pulling effect of scale growth and the inhibitory effect of technological progress offset each other, and the structural adjustment is mostly inhibiting effect. Especially after the Xixian New District was transferred, the structural effect became the main factor in reducing water consumption in 2018. At present, the water consumption of Xianyang City has been continuously reduced while maintaining a GDP growth rate of 3.7%, but its water-saving technology has been difficult to upgrade. The water saving indicators of agricultural water consumption, industrial water consumption, domestic water consumption and comprehensive water consumption in 10 major cities of Shaanxi Province were compared. It was found that the agricultural water consumption in Xianyang City has the most water-saving potential and the comprehensive water-saving e level is in the middle of Shaanxi Province.
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