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何文鑫, 徐玉霞, 马 凯, 齐建锋, 陈 倩.内蒙古半湿润与半干旱过渡区气候干湿变化差异研究——以赤峰市与呼伦贝尔市对比为例水资源与水工程学报[J].,2020,31(5):110-119
内蒙古半湿润与半干旱过渡区气候干湿变化差异研究——以赤峰市与呼伦贝尔市对比为例
Variations of dry and wet climate in the semi-humid and semi-arid transition zone of Inner Mongolia:Taking the comparison between Chifeng and Hulun Buir as an example
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2020.05.16
中文关键词:  气候干湿变化  半湿润半干旱过渡区  Mann-Kendall 突变分析  周期分析  赤峰市  呼伦贝尔市
英文关键词:dry and wet climate change  semi-humid and semi-arid transition zone  Mann-kendall abrupt change analysis  cyclical analysis  Chifeng City  Hulun Buir City
基金项目:陕西省社科界重大项目(2019C004); 陕西省教育科学十三五规划课题(SGH16H168); 宝鸡文理学院校级创新科研项目(YJSCX19YB10); 宝鸡文理学院校级重点项目 (ZK2018009); 宝鸡文理学院研究生创新科研项目 (YJSCX18YB04); 宝鸡文理学院院级大创项目(2018DHDC01); 宝鸡文理学院大学生创新创业训练计划项目(2017dc014); 陕西省重点学科自然地理学项目
作者单位
何文鑫1,2, 徐玉霞1,2, 马 凯1,2, 齐建锋1,2, 陈 倩1,2 (1.宝鸡文理学院 地理与环境学院, 陕西 宝鸡 721013 2.陕西省灾害监测与机理模拟重点实验室 陕西 宝鸡 721013) 
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中文摘要:
      利用1978-2018年赤峰市与呼伦贝尔市共12个气象站点的气象观测数据,运用线性回归、滑动平均等方法分析两市降水及气温的变化特征,并结合M-K检验法以及Morlet小波分析法,对比分析两市气候干湿变化所带来的影响。结果表明:在气温方面,1978-2018年赤峰市与呼伦贝尔市年平均气温均呈波动上升趋势,上升增率分别为0.11、0.25℃/10a,两市年均气温均在1982年发生突变,年均气温变化主周期分别为14和10 a;在降水方面上,赤峰市年降水量增率为2.43 mm/10a,呼伦贝尔市为-9.76 mm/10a;夏季降水倾向率最为明显,两市分别为6.71、-11.09 mm/10a,两市年降水量均发生了多次突变,年降水量变化主周期分别为12和8 a;1978-2018年赤峰市气候向暖湿化发展,呼伦贝尔市气候则趋向暖干化,这对于处于农牧分界地带的两市农业生产有较大的影响,适时制定科学合理的农牧业规划十分必要。
英文摘要:
      The observation data of 12 meteorological stations in Chifeng City and Hulun Buir City from 1978 to 2018 were used to analyze the variation characteristics of precipitation and temperature in the two cities with methods of linear regression and sliding average. Moreover, the effects of dry and wet climate changes in the two cities were compared and analyzed using M-K test method and Morlet wavelet analysis method. The results showed that in terms of temperature, the average annual temperature of Chifeng and Hulun Buir showed a trend of fluctuated increase from 1978 to 2018, with the increase rates of 0.11 ℃/10a and 0.25 ℃/10a, respectively. The average annual temperature of the two cities changed dramatically in 1982, and the main cycle of average annual temperature change was 14 a and 10 a, respectively. In terms of precipitation, the increase rate of annual precipitation in Chifeng was 2.43 mm/10a, and that in Hulun Buir was -9.76 mm/10a, with the highest rate of precipitation inclination occurred in summer, which were 6.71 mm/10a and -11.09 mm/10a, respectively. The annual precipitation of the two cities has undergone several abrupt changes, and the main change cycles of annual precipitation were 12 a and 8 a, respectively. From 1978 to 2018, the climate of Chifeng City became warmer and wetter, whereas that of Hulun Buir City turned warmer and drier. These phenomena had a great impact on the agricultural production of the two cities located in the borderline between the lands of agriculture and animal husbandry. Therefore, it is necessary to formulate timely and practical plans for the agriculture and animal husbandry of these two cities.
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