• ▶ 2008-2024年被中国情报信息研究所评价中心评为“中国科技核心期刊”
  • ▶ 2019-2024年连续三届被中国科学院文献情报中心中国科学引文数据库CSCD(核心库)收录
  • ▶ 2021、2023年入编北京大学图书馆《中文核心期刊要目总览》
  • ▶ 2020-2024连续四年入选《科技期刊世界影响力指数(WJCI)报告》
马梦含, 靳春玲, 贡 力, 逯晔坤, 王 婧.基于MCW-正态云模型的黑河流域突发水污染安全评价水资源与水工程学报[J].,2020,31(2):103-109
基于MCW-正态云模型的黑河流域突发水污染安全评价
Safety assessment of water pollution emergencies in Heihe Catchment based on MCW-normal cloud model
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2020.02.15
中文关键词:  突发水污染  水污染安全评价  混合交叉赋权  正态云模型  祁连山黑河流域
英文关键词:water pollution emergency  safety assessment of water pollution  mixed cross-weighting(MCW)  normal cloud model  Heihe catchment of Qilian Mountains
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51669010)
作者单位
马梦含, 靳春玲, 贡 力, 逯晔坤, 王 婧 (兰州交通大学 土木工程学院 甘肃 兰州 730070) 
摘要点击次数: 1275
全文下载次数: 456
中文摘要:
      突发水污染事件已成为水安全管理的一个重要问题,鉴于传统评价方法无法兼顾评价体系中模糊性和随机性问题,将正态云模型运用于突发水污染安全评价中,建立MCW-正态云评价模型对张掖祁连山黑河流域2012-2017年突发水污染安全情况进行评价。遴选15个指标利用PSR模型构建指标体系及分级标准,利用混合交叉赋权法(MCW)和正向云发生器分别求出权重和隶属度,将两者结合对突发水污染安全程度进行评价,最终与改进密切值法和模糊综合评价法的评价结果进行对比分析。结果表明:2012年张掖祁连山黑河流域突发水污染安全处于Ⅱ级重大危险,2013-2017年处于Ⅲ级较大危险,结果与改进密切值法、模糊综合评价法基本一致。该方法能有效实现定性定量的转化,对突发水污染安全评价具有可行性,可作为一种新的突发水污染安全评价模型。
英文摘要:
      Water pollution emergency incidents have become an important issue in water safety management. In view of the fact that traditional assessment methods cannot balance the problems of ambiguity and randomness in the evaluation system, the author applied the normal cloud model to the safety assessment of water pollution emergencies, and the mixed cross-weighting(MCW)-normal cloud evaluation model was established to carry out the water pollution emergency safety assessment of the Heihe Catchment in Qilian Mountains , Zhangye from 2012 to 2017. We selected 15 indicators to build an indicator system and grading standards using the PSR model, and adopted the MCW-normal cloud model to determine the weight and membership, respectively. And then, the values of the weight and membership were combined to evaluate the safety level of water pollution emergencies. Finally, the results of the assessment were compared and analyzed with those of the improved close value method and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. The results showed that the safety level of water pollution emergencies in the Heihe Catchement of Zhangye in 2012 was at Class II major risk, and it was at Class III in 2013-2017. The evaluation results are basically consistent with the improved close value method and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. This method can effectively realize qualitative and quantitative transformation, and is feasible for the safety assessment of water pollution emergencies. Therefore, it can be used as a new safety assessment model for water pollution emergencies.
查看全文  查看/发表评论  下载PDF阅读器
关闭