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曾红春, 杨奇勇, 李文军, 谢运球.湖南省相对水资源承载力时空变化分析水资源与水工程学报[J].,2018,29(3):69-74
湖南省相对水资源承载力时空变化分析
Spatial-temporal change analysis of relative carrying capacity of water resources in Hunan Province
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2018.03.12
中文关键词:  水资源  相对水资源承载力  时空变化  湖南省
英文关键词:Water resources  Relative carrying capacity of resources  Spatial-temporal change  Hunan Province
基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFC0502404); 广西科学研究与技术开发项目(桂科攻1598016-11)
作者单位
曾红春1,2, 杨奇勇1, 李文军3, 谢运球1 (1.中国地质科学院岩溶地质研究所 岩溶生态系统与石漠化治理重点实验室 广西 桂林 5410042.中国地质大学(北京) 北京 100083 3.湖南文理学院 资源与环境旅游学院 湖南 常德 415000) 
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中文摘要:
      采用相对水资源承载力的研究方法,分别以全国和湖南省为参照区域,分析湖南省及其14个地州市2000-2015年间相对水资源人口承载力、农业承载力和经济承载力的时间动态变化及空间差异。结果表明:湖南省水资源相对丰富,水资源承载力年际变化大,水资源承载力各地州市分布不均。从水资源承载力的动态变化上看,湖南省水资源承载的人口和GDP一直处于双重富余状态,而农业由富余状态逐渐变为超载状态,但是人口、农业和GDP水资源总量承载潜力较大,基本处于三重富余状态(除2011年)。从水资源承载力的空间分布来看,湖南省西部与南部地州市的人口、农业及经济水资源承载力潜力高,而北部、东部及中部地州市水资源承载力潜力低。研究为湖南省水土资源合理利用及经济持续发展提供科学参考。
英文摘要:
      Taking the whole China and the whole Hunan Province as reference zones, the temporal dynamic change and spatial difference of the relative population carrying capacity of water resources (RPCCWR), relative agricultural carrying capacity of water resources (RACCWR) and relative economic carrying capacity of water resources (RECCWR) were calculated for the whole Hunan Province and its 14 cities from 2000 to 2015 were analyzed. The result showed that Hunan Province was at the stage of relatively abundance of water resources. However, the RCCWR for Hunan Province changed largely from 2000 to 2015 and it distributed unevenly across the whole province. The economic development was lagged. As far as dynamic change of water resource was concerned, both RPCCWR and GDP were in a state of double surplus, while RACCWR has gradually changed from surplus to overloaded. The RPCCWR, RACCWR and RECCWR were in triple surplus and the potential RCCWR was relatively high(except in 2011). Taking spatial distribution of RCCWR into account, the potential of RPCCWR, RACCWR and RECCWR was high in the west and south of Hunan Province, and low in the north, east and middle. The study provides a scientific reference for reasonable utilization of water and land and sustainable economic development in Hunan Province.
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