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祁文燕, 钱 鞠, 葛 雷, 马红亮, 李胜双, 陈建龙.湟水干流近60年径流变化特征分析水资源与水工程学报[J].,2018,29(3):45-49
湟水干流近60年径流变化特征分析
Runoff variation analysis on main stream of Huangshui River in recent 60 years
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2018.03.08
中文关键词:  径流变化  累积距平  M-K检验  小波分析  湟水干流
英文关键词:runoff variation  accumulated anomaly  Mann-Kendall test  wavelet analysis  mainstream of Huangshui River
基金项目:水利部中央水资源费项目(126201330003150002)
作者单位
祁文燕1, 钱 鞠1, 葛 雷2, 马红亮2, 李胜双1, 陈建龙1 (1.兰州大学 资源环境学院 甘肃 兰州 730000
2.黄河水资源保护科学研究院 河南 郑州 450004 ) 
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中文摘要:
      研究流域径流演变特征,对流域水资源可持续开发利用及优化配置具有重要意义。本文基于湟水干流1956-2015年海晏、西宁及民和水文站长系列天然径流资料,采用累计距平、滑动平均、M-K检验和小波分析等方法,分析了湟水干流径流年内年际变化、趋势性、突变特征及其周期性。结果表明:湟水干流径流年内分配不均匀,径流年际变化波动明显,经历了“丰—枯—丰—枯—丰”5个循环交替,目前处于丰水期。湟水干流径流量总体呈上升趋势,3站分别以0.0011×108、0.0247×108、0.0120×108 m3/a的幅度增加,变化趋势不明显。小波分析表明湟水干流存在3a、9a及25a左右的振荡周期,其中25 a左右的周期振荡最强,为径流量序列第一主周期。
英文摘要:
      The study on the characteristics of runoff evolution in the basin has a significant meaning to the sustainable development and utilization of the water resources in the river basin and its optimal allocation. In this paper, based on the monthly natural runoff data in Haiyan, Xining and Minhe hydrological stations in Huangshui main stream from 1956 to 2015, inter-annual runoff features, tendency, detection for abrupt changes, and periodicity were analysed by using cumulative anomaly, moving average, Mann-Kendall test and Morlet wavelet analysis method. The results show that the distribution of annual runoff is uneven. The inter-annual runoff fluctuated significantly, experiencing "wet year-dry year-wet year-dry year-wet year" five cycles from 1956 to 2015. On the whole, the runoff of Huangshuiriver showed a rising trend. The flow of the three stations presented linear increase by 0.0011×108m3/a, 0.00247×108m3/a and 0.0120×108m3/a. The principal periods of the stream-flow were 3 years, 9 years and 25 years. The first principal cycle is 25 years while the second and third principal cycles are 9 years and 3 years.
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