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何庆龙, 周维博, 夏 伟, 李文溢.延安市近60年降水时空特征分析水资源与水工程学报[J].,2018,29(1):31-37
延安市近60年降水时空特征分析
Spatial-temporal characteristics about precipitation of Yan'an City in the past 60 years
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2018.01.05
中文关键词:  降水  时空特征  R/S分析法  Mann-Kendall检验  小波分析  延安市
英文关键词:precipitation  spatial-temporal characteristics  R/S analysis  Mann-Kendall test  wavelet analysis  Yan'an City
基金项目:
作者单位
何庆龙1,2, 周维博1,2, 夏 伟1,2, 李文溢1,2 (1.长安大学 环境科学与工程学院 陕西 西安 7100642.长安大学 旱区地下水文与生态效应教育部重点实验室 陕西 西安 710064) 
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中文摘要:
      为提高对延安市降水时空特征的认识,利用延安市境内15个雨量站1956-2015年的降水资料,运用滑动平均法、累计距平法、R/S分析法、Mann-Kendall检验法和小波分析法分析了研究区降水的年内空间分布特征和年际空间变化特征。结果表明:研究区降水年内分布极不均匀,主要集中在汛期(6-9月),汛期降水占全年降水的70%;年降水呈“增-减-增”的波动减少趋势,减少幅度约8 mm/10a,于1969年出现突变,且降水序列变化具有正持续性;降水序列具有31 a尺度的第一主周期,由15 a尺度的周期特征预计未来几年降水量呈减少趋势;降水空间分布不均,呈“东南多,西北少”的特征,年降水量差值超过130 mm;绝大部分地区降水量呈下降趋势,下降幅度最大的区域为志丹县西南部,南部黄龙山区降水量略微增长。
英文摘要:
      The aim of the research is to improve the understanding of the temporal and spatial characteristics about precipitation in Yan'an. The annual and spatial distribution characteristics, the interannual and spatial variation characteristics of precipitation are analyzed based on precipitation data from 15 rainfall stations in Yan'an from 1956 to 2015. The methods, such as a moving-average, accumulative anomaly, R/S analysis, Mann-Kendall test and wavelet analysis, are used here. The results show that: the annual distribution of precipitation in Yan'an is extremely uneven, precipitation is mainly concentrated in the flood season (June to September), and the precipitation in flood season accounts for 70% of the whole year precipitation; the annual precipitation shows a decreasing trend of “ increase-decrease-increase ”fluctuation, whose decline rate is about 8mm/10a, and the annual precipitation changed abruptly in 1969 and the sequence of precipitation has a positive continuity ; the first main period of annual precipitation change is 31 years, and it can be forecasted that precipitation of Yan'an in the next few years will decrease according to the periodic feature of 15-year scale; the spatial distribution of precipitation in Yan'an is uneven, which is characterized by “the southeast is more, and the northwest is less ”, and the difference value is more than 130mm. The precipitation in most areas of the city has been declining, the area which declined most quickly is the southwest of Zhidan County, while the precipitation in the south of Huanglong mountain area increased slightly.
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