• ▶ 2008-2024年被中国情报信息研究所评价中心评为“中国科技核心期刊”
  • ▶ 2019-2024年连续三届被中国科学院文献情报中心中国科学引文数据库CSCD(核心库)收录
  • ▶ 2021、2023年入编北京大学图书馆《中文核心期刊要目总览》
  • ▶ 2020-2024连续四年入选《科技期刊世界影响力指数(WJCI)报告》
卢 迪, 周如瑞.耦合中期、长期径流预报的跨流域引水受水水库调度图研究水资源与水工程学报[J].,2016,27(6):7-12
耦合中期、长期径流预报的跨流域引水受水水库调度图研究
Reservoir operation charts of inter-basin water transfer in intake area by coupling mid- and long-term runoff forecast
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2016.06.02
中文关键词:  跨流域引水  长期径流预报  中期径流预报  调度风险
英文关键词:inter-basin water transfer  long term runoff forecast  medium term runoff forecast  operation risk
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51379027);辽宁省自然科学基金项目(2015020608)
作者单位
卢 迪1, 周如瑞2 (1.中国电建集团 华东勘测设计研究院有限公司 浙江 杭州 311122 2.大连理工大学 水利工程学院 辽宁 大连 116024) 
摘要点击次数: 2180
全文下载次数: 1011
中文摘要:
      针对跨流域引水工程受水水库如何提高引水有效性的问题,本文基于参数-模拟-优化模型(PSO),研究耦合中期、长期径流预报信息的跨流域引水受水水库调度图。结合碧流河水库实例研究,提出利用长期径流预报修正调度图引水上下限及采用“库容+中期径流预报”制定引水决策的方法。通过比较多种预报调度图的模拟结果及调度风险分析,论证耦合中期、长期径流预报调度图的合理性。结果表明:应用耦合长期、中期径流预报信息的调度图可有效减少跨流域引水量,提高水资源利用率,且相比仅考虑长期径流预报的调度图降低了缺水风险。
英文摘要:
      In order to improve the effectiveness of reservoir water diversion in intake area of inter-basin water transfer project, reservoir operation charts of inter-basin water transfer in intake area by coupling mid-and long-term runoff forecast were studied based on the parameter-simulation-optimization (PSO) model. Through the case study in the Biliuhe reservoir, the methods of employing long-term forecast to modify the upper and lower limitations of the water division rules, and “storage plus mid-term runoff forecast” were proposed. The different forecast operation methods were compared for the simulated results and operation risk analysis. The rationality of coupling the mid-term and long-term runoff forecast operation charts was analyzed. The results showed that the coupling mid-and long-term runoff forecast operation charts could reduce the inter-basin diverted water effectively, improve the utilization efficiency of water resources, and reduce the water shortage risks compared with the operation charts by only using long-term runoff forecast.
查看全文  查看/发表评论  下载PDF阅读器
关闭