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沈俊源, 吴凤平, 于倩雯.基于模糊集对分析的最严格水安全综合评价水资源与水工程学报[J].,2016,27(2):92-97
基于模糊集对分析的最严格水安全综合评价
Strictest comprehensive evaluation of water safety based on fuzzy set pair analysis
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2016.02.17
中文关键词:  水安全  信息熵  模糊集对分析  联系度
英文关键词:water safety  information entropy  fuzzy set pair analysis  contact degree
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(41271537); 国家社会科学基金重大项目(12&ZD214)
作者单位
沈俊源, 吴凤平, 于倩雯 (河海大学 商学院 江苏 南京 211100) 
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中文摘要:
      在最严格水资源管理制度的约束下,遵循指标选取的合理性、科学性等原则,建立“三条红线”为基准的水安全量化指标体系,并提出基于信息熵的水安全模糊集对评价模型,通过模糊联系度的计算和置信度准则确定水安全评价等级。最后,结合青海省8个行政分区的水安全评价研究,与灰色聚类、层次分析法的评价结果进行了对比。研究表明:青海省整体水安全等级为Ⅳ级,处于“较不安全”状态,形势不容乐观,模糊集对分析与其他评价方法的评价结果基本一致,且该方法易于编程,对水安全评价具有一定的应用价值。
英文摘要:
      Under the constraint of the strictest water resources management system ,the paper followed the principles of rationality, scientificity to establish “Three Red Lines” as a water safety indicator system,and proposed the fuzzy set pair evaluation model of water safety based on information entropy, and then determined the level of water safety assessment by calculating the fuzzy relation degree and the criterion of setting confidence. Finally, the paper combined an empirical study of water safety evaluation for 8 administrative regions of Qinghai Providence and compared the results with that of grey clustering and analytic hierarchy process.The research shows that the overall water safety level of Qinghai Province is grade Ⅳ,and is more relatively unsafe state.The situation is not optimistic.The results given by fuzzy set pair analysis are consistent with the results by the other two methods. The method is easy to be programed and has certain application value for water safety assessment.
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