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何开为, 张代青, 侯 瑨, 李志勇.基于水足迹理论的云南省农业水资源承载力DEA模型评价水资源与水工程学报[J].,2015,26(4):126-131
基于水足迹理论的云南省农业水资源承载力DEA模型评价
Evaluation of DEA model about water resources carrying capacity of agriculture in Yunnan Province based on water footprint theory
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2015.04.024
中文关键词:  水足迹  DEA模型  水资源承载力  农业  云南省
英文关键词:water footprint  DEA model  water resources carrying capacity  agriculture  Yunnan province
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51469009); 云南省教育厅项目(14118489); 昆明理工大学2013年度大学生创新创业训练项目(201310674213)
作者单位
何开为, 张代青, 侯 瑨, 李志勇 (昆明理工大学 电力工程学院, 云南 昆明 650500) 
摘要点击次数: 1962
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中文摘要:
      基于水足迹理论和方法,计算和分析云南省2000-2008年农业耗水水足迹,并结合相关社会与经济输入、输出指标,建立DEA模型,评价此9年间云南省农业水资源与农业经济系统的可持续发展状况,定量分析云南省农业水资源相对承载力。结果表明:云南省2000-2003年和2006-2008年的7年间皆达到DEA有效,即农业水资源开发利用与社会经济发展之间的相对发展绩效达到最优,技术和规模效益都有效;云南省2004和2005年水资源相对承载力指数均小于1,DEA无效;云南省2000-2008年间持续发展增长则较为缓慢,呈现弱劣于可持续发展的轨迹。
英文摘要:
      Based on the theory and method of water footprint, the paper calculated and analyzed the water footprint of agricultural water consumption in Yunnan province from 2000 to 2008.According to the results of water footprint calculation and the related input and output indicators,this paper established DEA model so as to evaluate the situation of sustainable development of agricultural water resources and agricultural economic system in Yunnan province in nine years,and quantitatively analyzed the relative carrying capacity of agricultural water resources in Yunnan province. The results showed that ①during period of 2000 to 2003, 2006 to 2008, Yunnan province was effective based on DEA, which meant that the relative performance of development between the exploitation and utilization of agricultural water resources and the economic development achieved to the optimal, the technology and economy of scale were also effective;②In Yunnan province, the relative bearing capacity index of water resources was less than 1 in 2004 and 2005, DEA of Yunnan province is ineffective;③the growth of sustainable development of Yunnan province is relatively slow and presented the weakly track of sustainable development.
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