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鲜丽菊, 穆振侠, 姜卉芳, Lslom Ikromov.塔吉克斯坦近31年气候要素时空变化特征分析水资源与水工程学报[J].,2015,26(2):44-50
塔吉克斯坦近31年气候要素时空变化特征分析
Analysis of temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of climatic factor in Tajikistan for nearly 31 years
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2015.02.009
中文关键词:  气温  降水; 时空变化  塔吉克斯坦
英文关键词:temperature  precipitation  temporal and spatial variation  Tajikistan
基金项目:国家国际科技合作计划项目 (2010DFA92720); 新疆自治区地方公派出国留学成组配套项目(XJDF201307); 新疆水文学及水资源重点学科基金项目(xjswszyzdxk20101202)
作者单位
鲜丽菊1, 穆振侠1, 姜卉芳1, Lslom Ikromov2 (1.新疆农业大学 水利与土木工程学院 新疆 乌鲁木齐 830052
2.塔吉克斯坦农业大学塔吉克斯坦 杜尚别 735450) 
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中文摘要:
      为更好地应对中亚敏感的生态系统对我国的影响,促进我国与中亚各国间资源的合作开发利用,以塔吉克斯坦为研究区,借助GIS平台、采用统计学方法对该国1980-2010年间的气候要素时空变化特征进行分析,以期更好地为该国开展气候变化的监测、诊断、评估、预估影响以及对策等提供科学参考依据。结果表明:在1980-2010年,塔吉克斯坦的气温呈上升趋势,平均增率为0.30℃/10a,该国气温空间分布为东部高、西部低;该国降水量近31年来总体上呈现平稳态势,但年际间波动较大,其年代变化过程为20世纪90年代以前降水增加,90年代以后除索格特州外其余各行政单元的降水均呈减小趋势;降水变化空间分异显著,经度地带差异性比较明显,大致由东向西递增。
英文摘要:
      In order to better cope with the impact of sensitive ecosystems in central asia on our country and promote the coperative development and utilization of resources between China and central asian countrys,the paper took Tajikistan as study area, analyzed the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of climatic factors in the country from 1980 to 2010 by means of GIS platform and statistical methods. Ultimately,so as to provide a scientific reference for Tajikistan to carry out monitoring, diagnosis, assessment, impact estimation and countermeasures on climate change. The result shows that Tajikistan's temperature kept rising from 1980 to 2010 and its average growth rate came to 0.30℃/10a. The spatial distribution of this country's annual average temperature is higher in the east region and lower in the west.The country's annual precipitation presented a steady trend in general. However, its interannual fluctuation of precipitation is large. The change trend of precipitation across the country kept increasing before 1990s, then it showed the decrease trend except that of Sughd. The spatial distribution of precipitation change has significant difference,and is more obvious in longitude. Precipitation increases from east to west.
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