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张玉江.塔里木河源流山区降水量旱涝指数多尺度变化分析水资源与水工程学报[J].,2014,25(3):220-225
塔里木河源流山区降水量旱涝指数多尺度变化分析
Analysis of multi-time scale variation of drought-flood index for precipitation in headstream mountainous area of Tarim River basin
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2014.03.045
中文关键词:  降水量; 旱涝指数; 小波分析; 多尺度变化  塔里木河源流山区
英文关键词:precipitation  drought-flood index  wavelet analysis  multi-scale change  headstream mountain of Tarim River
基金项目:
作者单位
张玉江 (塔里木河流域管理局 新疆 库尔勒 841000) 
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中文摘要:
      利用塔里木河三源流山区近50年的逐月降水量数据,借助非参数检验、小波变换等方法分析了塔里木河三源流山区旱涝指数的多时间尺度变化特征。结果表明:①阿克苏河与叶尔羌河源流山区旱涝指数呈显著的增加趋势,而和田河表现为不显著的增加。②三源流旱涝指数皆在1986年发生了显著性突变。③阿克苏河与和田河旱涝指数存在4和8年的显著周期,而叶尔羌河表现为8和10年的显著周期。以上研究为实现塔里木河水资源的合理利用提供科学依据。
英文摘要:
      By use of monthly precipitation data measured in three headstreams of Tarim River in recent 50 years, this paper analyzed the multi time scale variation characteristics of drought flood index in virtue of the methods of nonparametric test and wavelet transforms. The results indicated that: ① the drought-flood indexes are presents the apparent increasing trend in Aksu River and Yarkand River, and the insignificant rise in Hotan River. ② The drought-flood indexes of the three headstreams took place remarkable mutation in 1986. ③ There are significant periods of 4 and 8 years for drought-flood indexes of Aksu River and Hotan River, and there are that of 8 and 10 years in Yarkand River. The results can provide a scientific basis for the reasonable utilization of water resources in the Tarim River basin.
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