Page 31 - 《水资源与水工程学报》2023年第5期
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! 5#       jkl, H: 23 SPEI 6mnopqrstuvwxyz{w|e_}~PQ                                           2 7

            PQ、 …Q、 …]、 …_ 6 ˆ¦a|ˎ¦Ï_ªÂ                       ,q, È 6a | Ë Ž ¦ Ï _ ª  ' y GP、GEV、
            'y GEV、GEV、GP、logN、P- ⅢN GP; ­‹°`                  logN、logN、GP N P- Ⅲ。

                                   ‚ 1 Êw˓G²ÎÏçVåè^Œ©šrSéGÖUêÄÅ

              °`                     K-S th                          A-DGÄ6                ˎ¦
                    ¦a                                                                              ݪ4
              d6          Gam log Llog N WbP- Ⅲ GEV GP     Gam log Llog N WbP- Ⅲ GEV GP Ï_ª
                                                                                                   k=0.2785
                  …·       √   √    √    ×   √   √    √    2.630.870.934.670.990.6023.78 GEV      σ =0.7065
                                                                                                   u=1.2233
                                                                                                   k=0.3769
                  …P_      ×   √    √    ×   √   √    √    4.541.671.665.345.110.998.13 GEV       σ =0.7663
                                                                                                   u=1.2043
                                                                                                   k=0.0846
             ¢˜   …PQ      √   √    √   √    √   √    √    2.851.491.234.230.391.100.26      GP   σ =1.3019
                                                                                                   u=0.4985
                                                                                                  σ =0.6814
                  …Q       √   √    √   √    √   √    √    2.441.070.793.294.260.854.25 logN
                                                                                                   u=0.5113
                                                                                                  α=1.1125
                  …]       √   √    √   √    √   √    √    0.801.030.631.530.540.718.09 P-Ⅲ        β=1.4252
                                                                                                  γ=0.5139
                                                                                                  k=-0.1126
                  …_       √   √    √   √    √   √    √    1.401.601.282.684.711.560.63      GP   σ =1.7736
                                                                                                   u=0.4132

                                                                                                   k=0.0017
                  …·       √   √    √   √    √   √    √    1.821.050.923.670.461.100.38      GP   σ =1.0221
                                                                                                   u=0.2939
                                                                                                   k=0.3618
                  …P_      ×   √    √   √    √   √    √    3.890.920.803.841.250.744.15 GEV       σ =0.5621
                                                                                                   u=0.7719

                                                                                                  σ =0.7318
             ,q   …PQ      ×   √    √   √    √   √    √    4.490.580.282.390.520.3815.66 logN
                                                                                                   u=0.0633
                                                                                                  σ =0.8064
                  …Q       √   √    √   √    √   √    √    1.560.640.472.001.200.804.22 logN
                                                                                                   u=0.0975
                                                                                                  k=-0.0201
                  …]       √   √    √   √    √   √    √    1.450.880.722.974.200.770.17      GP   σ =0.8405
                                                                                                   u=0.2912
                                                                                                  α=1.1543
                  …_       √   √    √   √    √   √    √    0.590.870.511.650.270.684.04 P-Ⅲ        β=0.9304
                                                                                                  γ=0.3172
               =:“ √”¼qðñ K-S th;“×”¼q/ðñ K-S th。

               Ϧa°`¢˜N°`,q£|H‡‡F+                             N,q£WÈK±|H‡S, °`°±d6í£|
            ¼ 2 Äq。 A¼ 2 ·Å Rx, Ϧaј°`d6                      HX Â Ø S ê k, Å   ø ¹ ÷ ¹ | Copula_ ª
            £| Pearson、Kendall N Spearman H‡Fªk‹              (Clayton、FrankGumbel、Joe) òŒ^°±d6£|
            0.5 Ëðñ p=0.01 |ÐnSth, ¼½°`¢˜                      à‘®¯ÖÀ¦§。
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