文章摘要
朱萌宇, 倪福全, 邓 玉, 任化准, 王宇轩, 吴明炎, 岳紫莹, 江 楠, 文 玮.长江源区蓝绿水对气候暖湿化和植被绿化的响应Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2025,36(2):40-48
长江源区蓝绿水对气候暖湿化和植被绿化的响应
Responses of blue and green water to climate warming-wetting and vegetation greening in the Yangtze River Source Region
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2025.02.05
中文关键词: 蓝、绿水  气候暖湿化  植被绿化  土地利用变化  SWAT模型  长江源区
英文关键词: blue and green water  climate warming and wetting  vegetation greening  land use change  soil and water assessment tool(SWAT) model  the Yangtze River Source Region
基金项目:四川省教育厅农村水安全工程研究中心项目(035Z2289)
Author NameAffiliation
ZHU Mengyu1, NI Fuquan1, DENG Yu1, REN Huazhun2, WANG Yuxuan1, WU Mingyan1, YUE Ziying1, JIANG Nan1, WEN Wei1 (1.四川农业大学 水利水电学院 四川 雅安 625014 2.长江水利委员会河湖保护与建设运行安全中心 湖北 武汉 430010) 
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中文摘要:
      长江源区位于全球气候变化和人类活动的敏感区域。该地区的蓝、绿水的变化对整个长江流域的水资源管理和可持续发展具有至关重要的影响。为探究长江源区蓝、绿水如何响应气候暖湿化和土地利用植被绿化的时空变化,构建了适用于该流域的水土评估工具SWAT模型,设置了考虑气候暖湿化和植被绿化的4种组合情景进行定量分析。结果表明:从1981—2020年长江源区的降水量和平均气温均呈现出显著的增加趋势;在1990—2020年间,有7 842.7 km2的未利用地转化为草地,同时叶面积指数(LAI)虽呈现增加趋势,但并不显著;随着气候暖湿化及植被绿化的推进,流域内的蓝、绿水均呈增加趋势;在蓝、绿水变化中,气候暖湿化起着主导作用,其对蓝水和绿水变化的影响贡献率分别为70.24%和96.28%;暖湿化的气候不仅促进了植被的绿化,也间接推动了流域内蓝、绿水的增加,而植被绿化加速了蓝水向绿水的转化过程,表明植被覆盖度的提高有助于改善流域内的水资源分布。
英文摘要:
      The Yangtze River Source Region (YRSR) is situated in a climate-sensitive zone, which is vulnerable to global climate change and human activities. The critical variations in its blue and green water resources have a profound impact on the management and sustainable development of water resources across the entire Yangtze River Basin. We investigated the spatiotemporal responses of blue and green water to climate warming-wetting trends and vegetation greening under land use changes, using the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model. Four combination scenarios considering climate warming-wetting and vegetation greening were established for quantitative analysis. The results indicate that precipitation and mean temperature in the YRSR exhibited significant upward trends from 1981 to 2020. During 1990-2020, 7,842.7 km2 of unused land was converted to grassland, while the leaf area index (LAI) showed a non-significant increasing trend. Under the combined effects of climate warming-wetting and vegetation greening, both blue and green water in the basin increased, with climate warming-wetting dominating the hydrological changes, contributing 70.24% and 96.28% to blue and green water variations, respectively. The warmer and wetter climate not only promoted vegetation greening but also indirectly enhanced water resources availability. Meanwhile, vegetation greening accelerated the conversion of blue water to green water, indicating that increased vegetation coverage optimized water resources distribution within the basin.
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