文章摘要
颜鹏东, 陈义忠, 张佳锋, 李 皓, 何 理.基于多层规划的武汉城市圈水量-水质耦合配置研究Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2021,32(1):72-81
基于多层规划的武汉城市圈水量-水质耦合配置研究
Optimal water resources allocation in Wuhan City Circle based on the integrated multi-level programming model of water quantity-water quality coupling
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2021.01.11
中文关键词: 多层规划  水资源配置  水足迹  模糊满意度  武汉城市圈
英文关键词: multi-level programming  water resources allocation  water footprint  fuzzy satisfaction degree  Wuhan City Circle
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目 (41890824); 中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(XDA20040302); 国家自然基金委创新团队项目(51621092); 河北省自然科学基金青年项目(E2020202117)
Author NameAffiliation
YAN Pengdong1, CHEN Yizhong2, ZHANG Jiafeng3, LI Hao4, HE Li1 (1.天津大学 水利工程仿真与安全国家重点实验室 天津 300350 2.河北工业大学 经济与管理学院 天津 300401 3.中国科学院国家空间科学中心 北京 100190 4.中南大学 机电工程学院 湖南 长沙 410083) 
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中文摘要:
      以武汉城市圈水资源配置系统为研究对象,在明确水足迹、水承载力及多重水资源需求的基础上,兼顾不同决策目标之间的制衡关系,构建了多层优化模型以达到环境目标、经济目标和社会目标的集成化。上、中、下层模型分别体现了污染物排放量的最小化、系统经济效益的最大化与系统收益配置的均等化。基于一种改进的多层次交互求解算法对模型进行求解,以模糊满意度直观展示不同决策目标之间的动态博弈过程。结果表明:武汉城市圈水资源生态总体上呈现良好状态,尤其是咸宁市(人均水承载力盈余4.13 hm2)、黄石市(人均水承载力盈余1.07 hm2),而武汉市、孝感市等城市的水承载力存在一定的超载。两个规划期内水资源管理系统的供需水量基本达到平衡,系统总经济效益预期达到363.68×108 元,COD及氨氮排放量将达到28.78×104 t,收益不公平性系数平均为2.10。决策系统模糊满意度达到0.68,这体现了上、中、下层决策目标的交互作用。同时对多层规划模型与3个传统的单目标优化模型的结果进行对比分析。研究结果可以为政府部门提供环境利益、经济利益和社会利益之间的内在冲突和权衡信息。
英文摘要:
      This study takes the water resources allocation system of Wuhan City Circle as the research object. Based on better understanding of water footprint, water carrying capacity, and multiple water resources requirements, a multi-level optimization model is developed to achieve the integration and balance of environmental, economic and social goals. The upper-level model focuses on minimization of pollutant emissions, the middle-level one reflects the economic benefits of the regional water system, and the lower-level one concerns about the equalization of regional water resources allocation. An improved multi-level interactive algorithm is adopted to solve this multi-level model, and the dynamic process between different decision-making goals is visually displayed with fuzzy satisfaction degree. Results indicate that the overall water resources ecology in Wuhan City Circle is satisfactory, especially in Xianning with a surplus of 4.13 hm2 per capita and Huangshi with a surplus of 1.07 hm2 per capita, whereas water carrying capacity deficits exit in Wuhan and Xiaogan. The supply and demand of water resources management system has basically reached a balance during the planning period. The economic benefits of the system are expected to reach 36.368×109 yuan, the emissions of chemical oxygen demand (COD) and ammonia nitrogen will reach 28.73×104 tons, and the earning inequality coefficient is expected to be 2.10. The fuzzy satisfaction degree of the model reaches 0.68, which reflects the interaction of the upper, middle and lower decision-making goals. The results of the multi-level programming model are then compared and analyzed with those of three traditional single-objective optimization models. These findings can provide valuable information on internal conflicts and trade-offs between environmental, economic, and social interests for the related government departments.
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