文章摘要
杨孟豪, 曹连海, 夏 帆, 商震霖.近59年许昌市降水演变特征分析Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2019,30(1):60-65
近59年许昌市降水演变特征分析
Analysis of the evolution characteristics of precipitation in Xuchang City in recent 59 years
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2019.01.10
中文关键词: 降水  演变特征  Mann-Kendall秩相关检验  Morlet连续复小波分析  许昌市
英文关键词: precipitation  evolution characteristics  Mann-Kendall rank correlation test  morlet continuous complex wavelet analysis  Xuchang City
基金项目:河南省科技攻关项目(152102210325)
Author NameAffiliation
YANG Menghao1, CAO Lianhai1,2, XIA Fan3, SHANG Zhenlin1 (1.华北水利水电大学 测绘与地理信息学院 河南 郑州 450046 2.南水北调中线水源区水安全河南省协同创新中心 河南 南阳 473061 3.华北水利水电大学 水利学院河南 郑州 450046) 
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中文摘要:
      利用许昌市13个降水量观测点1956-2014年的月降水量数据,结合线性回归、Mann-Kendall秩相关检验、累积距平和Morlet连续复小波分析等方法,研究了许昌市不同时间尺度降水量的演变特征。结果表明:许昌市年、雨季、旱季降水量分别以8.7、1.6、7.3 mm/10a的速率不显著减少;年、雨季、旱季降水量在空间上均呈现出自东北向西南方向递增的分布格局;年降水量在1964年发生了由多到少的突变;雨季、旱季降水量在1999年分别发生了由少到多和由多到少的突变;年降水量存在着14、22、5a的第一、第二、第三主周期变化;雨季、旱季降水量同样存在着多个时间尺度的周期变化特征;根据不同时间尺度主周期判断,许昌市即将进入降水偏丰时期。研究结果可为许昌市防洪抗旱和水生态文明建设提供依据。
英文摘要:
      Using the monthly precipitation data of 13 precipitation observation points from 1956 to 2014 in Xuchang City, combined with the linear regression, Mann-Kendall rank correlation test, cumulative anomaly and Morlet continuous complex wavelet analysis, the evolution characteristics of the precipitation at different time scales in Xuchang City were studied. The results show that the annual precipitation and the precipitation in rainy season and dry season in Xuchang decrease non-significantly at the rates of 8.7 mm/10a, 1.6 mm/10a, 7.3mm /10a respectively. The annual precipitation, the rainy season and dry season, precipitation show a spatial pattern that increases from northeast to southwest. The annual precipitation reduced abruptly in 1964, and the precipitation of the rainy season increased and dry season reduced respectively in 1999. The first, second and third major cycle changes of annual precipitation respectively were 14a, 22a, and 5a. The precipitation of the rainy season and dry season also have several time scale periodic variation. According to the features of the major cycle changes, Xuchang city will enter a period of relatively abundant precipitation. The research results can provide basis for flood control and drought relief, and water ecological civilization construction in Xuchang City.
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