文章摘要
闵心怡, 王小博, 杨传国, 程雨春, 庞 冉, 陈 堃.近500年黄淮海地区洪旱事件时空变化特征Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2017,28(3):66-71
近500年黄淮海地区洪旱事件时空变化特征
Spatio-temporal changes of floods and droughts at Huang-Huai-Hai region in last 500 years
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2017.03.13
中文关键词: 洪灾  干旱  时空特征  小波分析  黄淮海地区
英文关键词: flood  drought  spatial and temporal characteristic  wavelet analysis  Huang-Huai-Hai region
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(41471016); 国家重点研发计划(2016YFC0402706); 水利部公益性行业科研专项项目(GYHY201406021)
Author NameAffiliation
MIN Xinyi1, WANG Xiaobo1, YANG Chuanguo1,2, CHENG Yuchun1,2, PANG Ran1, CHEN Kun1 1. 河海大学 水文水资源学院江苏 南京 2100982.河海大学 水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室江苏 南京 210098 
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中文摘要:
      依据近500年洪旱等级数据,采用滑动平均、累积距平、频率统计、小波分析和Mann-Kendall突变检验和空间分析方法,评估了研究区近500年洪旱灾害时空变化特征。结果表明:黄淮海地区洪旱灾害具有明显的年际和年代际变化,近年来趋向干旱发展。各子区域的年际变化存在一定的差异,突变时段差别较大。洪旱灾害发生周期的空间分布差异性显著,19世纪后半叶以来洪旱灾害频繁。研究结果对于防灾减灾、灾害预测、工程建设以及相关研究等有重要的价值。
英文摘要:
      Based on the data of the past 500 years, the spatial and temporal characteristics of flood and drought disasters in the study area were evaluated using the moving average, cumulative anomaly, frequency statistics, wavelet analysis, Mann-Kendall test and spatial analysis method. The results show that the flood and drought disasters in Huang-Huai-Hai region have obvious interannual and interdecadal variations and the region tends to be arid in recent years. There are some differences in the interannual variability of each sub-region, and the abrupt change period is quite different. The spatial distribution of flood and drought disasters shows significant difference, and disasters have become more frequent since the latter half of the 19th century. The results are of great value for disaster prevention and mitigation, disaster prediction, engineering construction and related research.
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