文章摘要
程增辉, 陆宝宏, 熊 丝, 王慧凤, 胡 越, 张 青.基于水足迹模型的新疆水资源承载力分析Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2016,27(6):54-59
基于水足迹模型的新疆水资源承载力分析
Analysis on water resources carrying capacity based on water footprint model in Xinjiang
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2016.06.10
中文关键词: 水足迹模型  虚拟水  水资源承载力  新疆
英文关键词: water footprint model  virtual water  water resources carrying capacity  Xinjiang
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(NSFC-50979023); 水利部公益性科研专项项目(201201026)
Author NameAffiliation
CHENG Zenghui1, LU Baohong1,2, XIONG Si1, WANG Huifeng1, HU Yue1, ZHANG Qing3 (1.河海大学 水文水资源学院江苏 南京210098 2.河海大学 水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室 江苏 南京210098 3.临安市农业技术推广中心 浙江 杭州 311300) 
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中文摘要:
      基于新疆1999-2014年统计资料,采用自下而上的水足迹概化方法,以水资源匮乏指标、水资源压力指数和水足迹经济效益为指标分析评价了区域的水资源承载力水平。结果表明:水资源承载力各指标均呈增长趋势,且水资源匮乏指标于2014年(枯水年)增长至1.03,表明水资源严重匮乏。建议在满足生态要求和粮食安全的前提下,调整农作物种植比例,增加低耗水高产值的工业产品生产,并通过跨区域调水和贸易来缓解区域水资源承载压力。
英文摘要:
      Based on the statistical data of Xinjiang from 1999 to 2014, the level of regional water resources carrying capacity, which takes water resources scarcity index, water resources pressure index and water footprint economic benefits as indictor, was evaluated by the water footprint of bottom-up generalization method. The results indicated that: all indicators of water resources scarcity carrying capacity were in growth trend. Water resources scarcity index increased to 1.03 in 2014 (dry year), which meant that water resources was of serious shortage. Under the premise of ecological requirements and food security, it was recommended to adjust the planting proportion of crops, increase industrial production with low water consumption and high output value, and alleviate the pressure of regional water resources carrying capacity through cross-regional water diversion and trade.
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