水资源与水工程学报

文章摘要

郑佳重，朱梅，周婷，王振龙.基于水库调洪演算模型的朱芦沉陷区蓄滞洪预测模型初探Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2016,27(4):139-144

基于水库调洪演算模型的朱芦沉陷区蓄滞洪预测模型初探

Research on prediction model of flood storage and detention in Zhulu subsidence area based on model of reservoir flood routing

DOI：10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2016.04.26

中文关键词: 采煤沉陷区蓄洪滞洪水库调洪演算模型采煤沉陷区蓄滞洪预测模型

英文关键词: coal mining subsidence area flood storage and detention model for reservoir flood routing prediction model for flood storage and detention of coal mining subsidence area

基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目（51509001）; 水利部公益性行业科研专项（201101010）；安徽农业大学2016年优秀青年人才支持计划重点项目（gxyqZD2016040）；安徽省高等学校省级质量工程水利学科卓越工程师项目

Author Name	Affiliation
ZHENG Jiazhong¹， ZHU Mei²， ZHOU Ting²， WANG Zhenlong³	（1.河海大学水文水资源学院，江苏南京 210098； 2.安徽农业大学工学院，安徽合肥 230036；3.安徽省水利部淮河水利委员会水利科学研究院，安徽蚌埠 233000）

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中文摘要:

利用地理信息遥感技术，模拟1987-2013年间朱芦沉陷区的蓄滞空间历史演变过程。基于水库调洪演算模型，尝试建立采煤沉陷区蓄滞洪预测模型，通过预测模型模拟沉陷区在未来不同沉陷情景下对不同频率洪水过程的调蓄效果，并将蓄洪削峰量程序化展现。结果显示：朱芦采煤沉陷区在2015、2020、2030三种沉陷情景下对5、10、20、50年一遇的洪水洪峰的削减量从0.7%到41.4%不等。结果可为科学制定采煤沉陷区调洪蓄洪政策方案以及水资源的综合利用及管理提供一定参考。

英文摘要:

Using the remote sensing technology of geographic information，the paper simulated the evolution process of storage space at Zhu-Lu subsidence area from 1987 to 2013 . Based on the model of reservoir flood routing,it built the predict model of flood storage and flood detention of coal mining subsidence area and. simulated the process of different frequency flood and calculate the detention of flood in different level years in the future according to the prediction model.The result showed that the reduction volume of flood peaking of once in 5,10,20 and 50 years in 2015,2020 and 2030 can be cut from 0.7% to 41.4%.The result can provide reference for the establishment of policy and the comprehensive utilization and management of water resources in coal mining subsidence areas.

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