文章摘要
王晓莹, 杨 丹, 邵银龙.南京市近60年气候变化特征分析Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2016,27(4):119-124
南京市近60年气候变化特征分析
Analysis on climatic variation characteristics of Nanjing city During the past 60 years
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2016.04.22
中文关键词: 降水  气温  变化特征  南京市
英文关键词: precipitation  temperature  variation characteristics  Nanjing
基金项目:
Author NameAffiliation
WANG Xiaoying1,2, YANG Dan3, SHAO Yinlong4 (1.河海大学 水文水资源学院 南京 210098 2.国网电力科学研究院 南京南瑞集团公司 南京2100033.水利部水文局 北京100053 4.中国电建集团华东勘测设计研究院有限公司 杭州 310014) 
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中文摘要:
      掌握南京市气候变化特征,对指导当地工农业生产和生活具有重要意义。基于南京站1955-2013年逐日降水和气温数据,采用Db3小波分解法、Man-Kendall法、Morlet小波分析法和R/S分析法分析了南京市年最大日降水量、年降水日数、年最高日气温和年最低日气温的变化趋势、周期特征和长程相依性。结果表明:年最大日降水量、年降水日数、年最高日气温和年最低日气温分别呈增加、减少、增加和增加变化,未来仍将持续这一变化趋势,各指数的变化主周期依次为7、22、12和12 a。上述变化表明,南京市年内旱涝事件发生机率可能将会同步增加,需要有关部门予以高度重视。
英文摘要:
      To master the climatic variation characteristics of Nanjing has very important for guiding the local industrial and agricultural production and daily life. According to the daily data of precipitation and temperature of Nanjing station from 1955 to 2013, the paper used Db3 wavelet decomposition method, Man-Kendall method, Morlet wavelet analysis method and R/S analysis method to analyze the change tendency, periodic characteristics and long memory's property of the maximum daily precipitation, the days of precipitation in the year,the maximum daily temperature and minimum daily temperature in a year.The results show that the maximum daily precipitation, the days of precipitation, the maximum daily temperature and minimum daily temperature in a year is respectively showing an increasing, decreasing, increasing and increasing tendency now and in the future.Meanwhile, the main periods of before-mentioned indexes are 7, 22, 12 and 12 years respectively.These changes show that occurrence probability of drought and flood events in Nanjing will increase,which needs to attach great importance for the relevant departments.
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