文章摘要
吴海燕, 黄德春.基于效用理论的水利工程PPP项目风险分担研究Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2016,27(2):152-157
基于效用理论的水利工程PPP项目风险分担研究
Study on risk allocation of water conservancy PPP project based on utility theory
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2016.02.28
中文关键词: 水利工程PPP项目  效用理论  风险分担
英文关键词: water conservancy PPP project  utility theory  risk-sharing
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(71573072); 国家社科基金重大项目 (11ZD168) ; 国家外国专家局高端外国专家项目(GDW20153200137); 长江学者和创新团队发展计划(IRT13062)
Author NameAffiliation
WU Haiyana,b,c,HUANG Dechuna,b,c (河海大学 a.商学院 b.江苏省“世界水谷”与水生态文明协同创新中心 c.产业经济研究所 南京 211100) 
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中文摘要:
      PPP模式在水利工程中的运用越来越广泛,但由于水利工程PPP项目具有投资大、周期长、工序繁多等特点,使得项目参与方面存在众多风险。为确定水利工程PPP项目各参与方的合理风险分担比例以实现最大效用,论文针对水利工程PPP项目特点,以效用理论为手段,以公共部门、私营机构和金融机构为风险分担主体,建立水利工程PPP项目风险最优分担模型并对其求解。结果表明:确立合理风险分担比例的基础是明确项目参与方在谈判中的地位,而最小风险成本的确立则是由项目参与方对风险的期望成本所决定。最后结合南水北调工程,证明效用理论在水利工程PPP项目中的运用及此风险分担方法的可行性。
英文摘要:
      The PPP model has been widely used in water conservancy project. Because the water conservancy PPP project has many features with vast investment, long life cycle,various processes and so on, the participants have been faced up with many risks. To figure out the optimal risk allocation proportion to achieve maximum utility, the paper based on the characteristics of Water conservancy PPP project and used utility theory as method, makes public, private and financial institutions as risk-sharing bodies to establish the optimal risk-sharing model of Water conservancy PPP project and got its solution.Result showed that the basis of establishing reasonable risk allocation proportion is to definite the status of participants in the negotiation.The establishment of minimum risk cost is depend on the expectancy cost. At last, the applicability and of utility theory in water conservancy PPP project and the feasibility of risk allocation have been verified through the south-to-south water diversion project.
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