文章摘要
鲍春, 宋丹青.模糊数学在库区泥石流易发性评价中的应用Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2015,26(6):132-136
模糊数学在库区泥石流易发性评价中的应用
Application of fuzzy mathematics in prone evaluation of debris flow of reservoir area
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2015.06.024
中文关键词: 灰色关联度  多级模糊数学综合评价  泥石流  易发性评价  泥石流分区  库区
英文关键词: grey correlation degree  comprehensive evaluation of multi-level fuzzy math  debris flow  proneness evaluation  debris flow partition  reservoir area
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(41401107)
Author NameAffiliation
BAO Chun1, SONG Danqing2 (1.兰州大学 土木工程与力学学院 甘肃 兰州 730000 2.上海交通大学 船舶海洋与建筑工程学院 上海 200030) 
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中文摘要:
      运用模糊数学中多级模糊评判的理论和方法, 结合泥石流灾害的具体特点、成因、机理分析, 建立了一种新的泥石流灾害易发性的多级模糊综合评价模型, 并且运用灰色关联度方法定量化确定各个影响因子权重。以九甸峡水库韩家沟泥石流沟为例,选用典型评判指标, 建立二级近似推论,对九甸峡库区泥石流易发性进行两级模糊综合评价。将其易发性分为4个等级级,并进行泥石流易发性分区,为库区泥石流沟灾害防治提供依据。
英文摘要:
      Based on theory and method of multi-grade fuzzy evaluation in fuzzy mathematics, combined with the characteristics, cause and mechanism of debris-flow hazard,the paper set up a new multi-grade fuzzy evaluation model of debris-flow proneness and used grey correlation method to determine the weight of various impact factor.Taking Hanjiagou debris-flow gully of Jiudianxia reservoir for example,according to typical evaluation indexes,the paper established the secondary approximate reasoning and evaluated the debris flow liability by two-stage fuzzy comprehensive evaluation.The liability of debris flow can be divided into four levels, and the liability of debris flow of reservoir area was divided,which can provide the basis for the disaster prevention of reservoir debris flow gully.
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