文章摘要
王仲珏, 詹水芬, 王绪亭.基于寿命分布理论的串联输水系统防洪风险研究Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2014,25(5):78-80
基于寿命分布理论的串联输水系统防洪风险研究
Research on flood risk of series water transfer project system based on theory of life distribution
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2014.05.017
中文关键词: 连续型寿命分布; Weibull分布; 串联系统; 防洪风险; 可靠度  水工建筑物
英文关键词: continuous life distribution theory  Weibull distribution  series linked system  flood risk  reliability  hydraulic structure
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(50579049)
Author NameAffiliation
WANG Zhongjue, ZHAN Shuifen, WANG Xuting (交通运输部天津水运工程科学研究院 天津 300456) 
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中文摘要:
      根据连续型寿命分布理论,充分利用历史数据,给出了Weibull分布条件下串联水工建筑系统的可靠度计算模型。结合南水北调中线总干渠河北段进行了实际应用,建立了南水北调中线河北段输水串联系统建筑物在不同使用期的防洪风险估算模型。结果表明:水工建筑的防洪风险不仅与传统的设计标准有关,还与使用时间有着密切的关系,建立了动态水工建筑物防洪风险评价模型。
英文摘要:
      According to the theory of continuous life, the paper gave distribution flood risk assessment model of series linked hydraulic structures system in different serving periods on the condition of weibull distribution by the full use of history flood information. The model was appied in Hebei section of middle route main canal in south to north water transfer project.The paper set up the estimation model of flood risk of series linked water construction of the section in different serving periods.The results showed that flood risk of series linked water construction is closely related to not only the traditional design standard but also serving period.The paper established the evaluation model of flood risk of dynamic hydraulic structures.
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