文章摘要
魏天锋, 刘志辉, 姚俊强.博尔塔拉河径流过程对气候变化的响应Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2014,25(5):73-77
博尔塔拉河径流过程对气候变化的响应
Response of runoff process on climate change in Boertala river
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2014.05.016
中文关键词: 径流  气候变化  Mann-Kendall法; 博尔塔拉河
英文关键词: runoff  climate change  Mann-Kendall method  Bortala river
基金项目:国家自然科学基金重点项目(41130531);绿洲生态重点实验室2012年开放课题(XJDX0201-2012-09)
Author NameAffiliation
WEI Tianfenga, LIU Zhihuia,b,c,d, YAO Junqianga (新疆大学 a.资源与环境科学学院
b.绿洲生态教育部重点实验室
c.干旱生态环境研究所
d.旱半干旱区可持续发展国际研究中心新疆 乌鲁木齐 830046) 
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中文摘要:
      以博尔塔拉河上游和中游为研究区,利用温泉站、博乐站1992-2012年月径流、降水、温度数据,采用统计分析、Mann-Kendall非参数检验、水文特征分析参数分析了博河流域气候变化对径流的影响,得出以下结论:①20世纪90年代以来,博尔塔拉河上游和中游径流量均呈波动上升趋势,其中近10年径流量增加趋势明显。②径流年际变化上游较稳定,而径流年内变化正好相反,且上游径流变化具有水热同期的特点,而中游具有滞后性。③温度是引起上游径流变化的主要因素,而农业灌溉、温度、降水的变化对中游径流变化有重要影响,其中温度的影响最为显著。
英文摘要:
      Taking the midstream and upstream of Bortala river as the study area ,the paper used the methods which are statistical analysis,Mann-Kendall nonparametric test and analysis parameters of hydrological characteristics and the data that are monthly runoff,precipitation and temperature on Wenquan and Bole station in 1992~2012 to analyze the impact of climate change on runoff.The results showed that runoff in midstream and upstream of the Bortala river appeared a trend of increase since 1990s.Runoff increased obviously in nearly 10 years.The interannual variability of runoff at upstream was stable.The annual variability of runoff was opposite, and runoff change at upstream had characteristic of hydrothermal same period. however,that of the midstream had a lag. The temperature is the main factor which causes runoff change at the upstream.The agricultural irrigation,temperature and precipitation are the main reasons of runoff change at the midstream.The influence of temperature on runoff is the most significant.
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