文章摘要
金 星, 刘 高, 魏蒙恩, 毛 举.基于可拓灰色关联分析法的泥石流危险性评价Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2014,25(4):79-83
基于可拓灰色关联分析法的泥石流危险性评价
Assessment of debris flow hazard based on method of extension grey relational analysis
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2014.04.017
中文关键词: 泥石流  可拓法  灰色关联分析  危险性评价
英文关键词: debris flow  method of extension theory  grey relational analysis  hazard assessment
基金项目:国家重大基础研究发展计划(973计划)项目(2014CB744701)
Author NameAffiliation
JIN Xinga, LIU Gaoa,b, WEI Mengena, MAO Jua (兰州大学 a.土木工程与力学学院 b.西部灾害与环境力学教育部重点实验室 甘肃 兰州 730000) 
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中文摘要:
      基于可拓灰色关联分析法,对黄河上游某水电站坝址区的泥石流沟进行研究。利用可拓法建立泥石流沟危险性评价的物元模型,结合灰色关联分析法分析各评价因子的权重值,建立可拓灰色关联分析模型,对泥石流沟进行危险性评价。最后将模糊数学法和规范法两种方法进行对比,结果非常接近,与现场勘察情况吻合,说明可拓灰色关联分析法在对泥石流危险性评价中有很好的适用性,也很好地解决了泥石流的多样性、复杂性及评价结果不确定性等问题。
英文摘要:
      The paper studied the debris flow gully of hydropower station dam area in the upperstream of Yellow river based on the method of extension grey relational analysis. By applying the method of extension theory, the matter-element model of hazard evaluation for debris flow gully was established. According to the weighted value of evaluation factors in method of grey relational analysis,it then set up analysis model and analyzed the hazard of debris flow gully.Comparing with the method of fuzzy mathematics and standard,the,the results are vary similar and coincides with field investigation,. The conclution showes that the method is well applicabile in assessment of debris flow risk, and solved the diversity,complexity and uncertainty of debris flow.
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