文章摘要
刘登峰, 雷江群, 黄 强, 林 木.具有近百年观测数据的径流演变特性分析Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2014,25(3):24-28
具有近百年观测数据的径流演变特性分析
Analysis of runoff evolution characteristics with observation data for nearly hundred-year
  
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2014.03.005
中文关键词: Sangamon河上游  径流  演变特性  周期
英文关键词: upper reaches of Sangamon River basin  runoff  evolution characteristics  cycle
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51309188、51190093、51179149); 教育部博士学科点基金(20136118120021); 陕西省重点科技创新团队(2012KCT-10)
Author NameAffiliation
LIU Dengfeng1, LEI Jiangqun1, HUANG Qiang1, LIN Mu2 (1. 西安理工大学 水利水电学院 陕西省西北旱区生态水利工程重点实验室 陕西 西安 710048 2.中央财经大学 统计与数学学院 北京 100081) 
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中文摘要:
      国内多数流域的径流观测资料只有50多年,限制了径流演变特性的分析。本文使用具有近百年观测的美国Sangamon河上游Monticello水文站1909-2012年的年径流资料,分析出径流的年际和年内变化及趋势性、持续性、突变点和周期。研究结果表明:该水文站径流的年际变化较大,年内分配不均;年径流序列具有显著的上升趋势,且具有正持续性;年径流序列的突变点发生在1922、1931、1942、1952与1967年;年径流序列存在10、23和56年的周期,56年的尺度周期最为显著。56年的周期已经超过了国内多数水文观测数据的长度。
英文摘要:
      The runoff observation data of major watersheds has only 50 years in China, which limits the analysis of runoff evolution characteristics. This article analyzed the runoff variation of annual and seasonal,its tendency, persistence, mutation point and period by use of runoff observation data for more then 100 years from 1909 to 2012 at Monticello hydrological station in the upperstream of Sangamon River in USA. The results showed that the annual change of runoff is greater,the seasonal distribution is uneven; the annual runoff has an significant ascent trend and a positive persistence; the mutation of annual runoff took place in 1922, 1931, 1942, 1952 and 1967; the cycles of annual runoff are 10, 23 and 56 years.The cycle of 56 years is the most outstanding and has exceeded the length of major hydrological observation data in China.
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