文章摘要
张晓龙, 黄领梅, 沈 冰.河北省降水时空变化特征分析Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2014,25(2):140-143
河北省降水时空变化特征分析
Analysis of feature of temporal and Spatial changes of precipitation in Hebei Province
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 降水  Mann-Kendall趋势检验  R/S分析  河北省
英文关键词: precipitation  mann-kendall trend test  R/S method  Hebei province
基金项目:国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(50939004)
Author NameAffiliation
ZHANG Xiaolong, HUANG Lingmei, SHEN Bing (西安理工大学 西北水资源与环境生态教育部重点实验室 陕西 西安 710048) 
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中文摘要:
      基于ArcGIS的样条函数插值利用Mann-Kendall法和R/S分析,对河北省内周边共43个气象站的降水序列进行分析研究。结果表明:在空间分布上,遵化、沧州及石家庄以西为多雨区,坝上为少雨区,降水等值线在山区的梯度较大。在时间分布上,汛期降水占全年降水62%~74%。降水代际呈下降趋势,但20世纪80年代—90年代呈上升之势;而各年代的降水空间分布无明显变化。全省大部分地区降水均呈下降趋势,下降最显著的是石家庄以西地区,达-4 mm/a。全省除沧州、廊坊、石家庄一带大部分地区年降水未来总体趋势和过去趋势一致,持续下降,而沧州、廊坊、石家庄等地未来趋势与过去相反或趋势变化不明显。
英文摘要:
      Based on spline function interpolation of ArcGIS, the paper applied mann-kendall test and rescaled range analysis(R/S) method to research the long-term series of precipitation at 43 meteorological stations in Hebei and neighboring provinces. The results show that in spatial distribution, Zunhua, Cangzhou and west of Shijiazhuang are the more precipitation regions, but Bashang is the region lack of precipitation. The rainfall isoline gradient of mountains is the larger than rhat of plain areas. In temporal distribution, the 62%~74% of whole year's precipitation is concentrated on flood season. Precipitation of decades is on decline, but it was rising in 1980s and 1990s. Under different decades, the spatial distribution of precipitation has no obvious change. Meanwhile, the precipitation presentes a decreasing trend in most parts of Hubei province, especially the west of Shijiazhuang with -4mm/a. In addition, the future trend of annual precipitation will continue to decline as the past in most parts except Cangzhou, Langfang and Shijiazhuang.
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