文章摘要
李少朋, 高良敏, 母玉敏, 叶圆圆.基于SD模型的巢湖流域可持续发展研究Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2014,25(1):112-116
基于SD模型的巢湖流域可持续发展研究
Research on sustainable development of Chaohu lake basin based on system dynamic model
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 生态环境  绿色GDP  SD模型  巢湖流域  可持续发展
英文关键词: ecological environment  green GDP  SD model  Chaohu lake basin  sustainable development
基金项目:国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项(2008ZX07103-007)
Author NameAffiliation
LI Shaopeng, GAO Liangmin, MU Yumin, YE Yuanyuan (安徽理工大学 安徽 淮南 232001) 
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中文摘要:
      根据生态经济理论,利用SD模型方法,基于经济增长、生态环境影响和社会变化之间的反馈关系,构建了巢湖流域“环境—社会—经济”结构模型。通过设定环境、社会和经济3个子系统,采用系统动力学模拟分析软件Vensim PLE,对巢湖流域“环境—社会—经济”运行规律进行了研究,包括经济发展优先模式、自然基准模式和环境协调发展模式;通过比较得出最佳模式,可为促进巢湖流域可持续发展提供借鉴。
英文摘要:
      According to ecological economic theory and using SD model approach, based on the feedback relationship between economic growth, ecological environment and social change, this paper built “environment-society-economy” structural model in Chaohu lake basin. Through seting the relationship of environment, society and economy, using system analysis software Vensim PLE, this paper discussed the operation law of “environment-society-economy” of Chaohu lake basin, witch include the priority mode of economic development, the natural reference mode and the environmental development model. It finally reached the optimum mode through comparing these three models.The result can provide guidance for sustainable development of Chaohu lake basin.
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