文章摘要
许尚伟,刘 智.南水北调东线鲁北段工程施工风险评价数学模型的研究及应用Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2013,24(5):141-144
南水北调东线鲁北段工程施工风险评价数学模型的研究及应用
Research on mathematical model of risk evaluation of construction of south to north water transfer project in northern Shandong and its application
Received:April 03, 2013  Revised:May 02, 2013
DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2013.05.031
中文关键词: 数学模型  工程施工  风险评价  南水北调东线工程
英文关键词: mathematical model  construction of project  evaluation of risk  east route of south-to-north water transfer project
基金项目:
Author NameAffiliation
XU Shangwei Water Conservation Survey and Design Institute of Shandong Province, Jinan 250013, China 
LIU Zhi Department of Information Engineering, Shandong School of Management, Jinan 250100, China [KH*3D] 
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中文摘要:
      将南水北调东线鲁北段工程施工中面临的风险归纳为组织风险、经济与管理风险、工程环境风险和技术风险四类,并结合灰色系统理论和层次分析法,建立了灰色多层次评价数学模型用以定量地评价南水北调鲁北段工程施工风险,评价的目的是让风险管理者对风险程度有清晰的认识,从而及时采取对策,减少意外的损失,避免工程项目施工进度的拖延。
英文摘要:
      The risks faced in the construction of south-to-north water transfer project in northern Shandong are concluded organization risk, economical and management risk, engineering environmental risk and technology risk. Based on grey system theory and AHP method, the paper set up a grey hierarchy evaluation model to assess quantitatively the construction risk of south-to-north water transfer project in northern Shandong. The purpose is to make managers have a clear understanding of the risk degree and take countermeasures to minimize the accident loss and ensure the smooth progress of construction.
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