| 张大顺,马苏文.灰色系统电力负荷预测模型在北疆电网的应用研究Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering[J].,2013,24(3):165-168 |
| 灰色系统电力负荷预测模型在北疆电网的应用研究 |
| Application of electric load forecast model of grey system in the north of Xinjiang power grid |
| Received:December 17, 2012 Revised:May 16, 2013 |
| DOI：10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2013.03.038 |
| 中文关键词: 灰色系统 电力负荷预测 北疆电网 |
| 英文关键词: grey system electric system load forecast power grid of north Xinjiang |
| 基金项目: |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 电力系统负荷预测的准确度和精度会对电力系统安全、稳定、经济、可靠性产生巨大影响。本文在对灰色系统理论的基础上,建立灰色系统电力负荷预测模型,并对模型应用到新疆北疆电网,对2020年电力负荷进行预测,其预测结果精度较为满意。灰色系统电力负荷预测是较为可靠的预测方法。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| The accuracy and precision of electric system load have great influence on the safety,stability, economy, reliability of electricity system. Based on the theory of grey system, this paper built electric power load forecast model of gray system, which is applied to the north of Xinjiang power grid and used to forecast power load in 2020.The accuracy prediction results is satisfactory. Grey system electric load forecast model is a reliable method. |
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