Page 86 - 《水资源与水工程学报》2022年第4期
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8 2 & ' ( ) & * + , - 2022 $
]19ÄDT8ÏpTeÔGW kb(r?e'¼eµH RE, ô£ 3 Åý。
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1v1¥, 9Ä©Kkf{/J, PQ
ó: Trc ó: Trc
?1v§k。ÎÏ 1983-2018 cÍ$ 36a Tr =õ =õ
c1 ~kb c1 ~kb
c~kbT8n¢, æ:n¢7 1。
1 1983 2.51 19 2001 3.24
e]19ÄDTrc~kb=:¢
2 1984 3.76 20 2002 1.92
opOÝ«µF, ÑrK«oîÂ8
3 1985 3.01 21 2003 1.79
[0,1] ^«。en¢opø¨, Ñ
4 1986 1.01 22 2004 3.35
1983-2010 cn¢T8}~q,2011-2018
cn¢T8rq。 5 1987 2.41 23 2005 1.94
¼.GèHß (AEFA) <H²Ô 6 1988 1.20 24 2006 3.17
maxiter=100, rìt_B8 N=30, ñ{çl 7 1989 7.50 25 2007 2.79
mn§8[1,30], I´F lr n§8 8 1990 2.55 26 2008 1.84
[0.0001,0.01]。 K AEFAeñ{çl m?I 9 1991 2.43 27 2009 3.57
´F lr op²n§, âÑ°6µH(MSE) T8 10 1992 2.61 28 2010 3.02
ßn§(。 8YUw AEFA§«~k( 11 1993 2.22 29 2011 3.21
rB0¶pç?/ç, ÎÏ«²ß GA(ge
12 1994 0.90 30 2012 2.60
neticalgorithm ) ?rì_ß PSO(particleswarm
13 1995 1.41 31 2013 4.05
optimization) MȼÁ1。K¸Aß/A
14 1996 3.16 32 2014 3.56
ÄUw 3l B 0 (AEFA-LSTM、GA-LSTM、
15 1997 1.80 33 2015 2.78
PSO-LSTM) LSTMåÖ/8 1-10-1。
16 1998 2.10 34 2016 4.23
| MATLAB:t LSTMB0, ¨öm.G
17 1999 1.72 35 2017 3.75
èHß AEFA、 «²ß GA、 rì_ß PSOe
LSTMB0op²n§, þÅØߧ«A~ 18 2000 1.37 36 2018 2.96
G 3 3 xKdLØ4yt7©[Ùzª_`
£ 3 ¶]",3tB0(r 2011-2018 5 2015 c。PSO-LSTMB0(r¼eµH
cc~kbZ:2g½H:MTr¢Ý, 2gç1H, ;ȱ 2014-2015c, ¼eµ
AEFA-LSTMB0(r2gîMTr2 HRÅ 6%j8Zl=:c<H 14.90%。
gînv8¥¯ GA-LSTMB0?PSO- Á1,AEFA-LSTMB0(r¼e
LSTMB0, È(r¼eµH18;, ¼e µH8¯ GA-LSTM B0? PSO-LSTM B
µH<H8 5.82%, "5 2011 c, ȯ=: 0, lö=:c%(2016c)PSO-LSTMB0Ø
c¼eµH°¯ 5%, ¼eµH<8 =:c¼eµH°¯ GA-LSTMB0。$
2.71%。GA-LSTMB0(r¼eµH2g þÅ AEFA-LSTMB0、GA-LSTMB0? PSO-
ç1H, 2014-2016 c÷c1¼eµH"5 LSTMB0»°¼eµH¨ö8 4.06%、11.65%
Y8?Ä, ¼eµH<HjÅ 17.64%, " ?9.28%, »°¼eµHHÁ=:AEFA-LSTM